What a slower transition could mean: AFRY’s new scenario for European power markets
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Today’s energy leaders face a growing challenge: decisions must be made with confidence, even as political ambition, policy signals, and market dynamics become increasingly uncertain.
Net zero by 2050 remains the European Union’s legislated goal, but the path toward it is not guaranteed to be smooth or timely.
This webinar introduces AFRY’s new scenario developed in response to growing client demand. It explores an alternative future in which the transition to net zero takes longer (2070) as technology deployment slows and the hardest sectors to decarbonize (such as heating, aviation, and shipping) progress more gradually.
Although the scenario is built on a globally modeled energy system, this session focuses on its implications for European power markets. The new scenario does not replace AFRY’s Central view; instead, it complements it by offering a coherent, consistent way to stress‑test investments under heightened policy and technology uncertainty.
Building a new scenario is not a simple adjustment of assumptions. It draws on AFRY’s decades of experience in energy fundamentals, market modeling and sector expertise. In this webinar, our experts will outline the thinking behind the new scenario, how it differs from our Low, Central and High views, and how it can support more resilient strategic and investment decisions.
The goal is not to predict the future… but to help you prepare for multiple futures with confidence.
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Watch the webinar to:
- Understand how a delayed European energy transition could reshape the energy landscape
- Learn why uncertainty in policy, technology readiness and sectoral decarbonization matters for long‑term planning
- See how the new scenario complements AFRY’s existing scenario framework
- Gain a practical approach to stress‑testing assets and strategies against alternative futures
- Discover how AFRY’s decades of energy system expertise translate into robust, bankable scenarios for decision‑makers
