AFRY Energy Reports

Independent energy market projections for confident decisions

AFRY Energy Reports combine proprietary in-house modeling with local market expertise to provide independent, transparent, and bankable market projections for investment, financing and strategy decisions across the energy value chain.

Independent
AFRY provides an external market view designed to support investment, financing and strategy decisions.

Transparent
Inputs, assumptions and modeling steps are documented so projections can be understood, challenged and explained.

Defensible
Outputs are built on rigorous modeling, expert review and quality control, helping them stand up in front of investment committees, auditors and lenders.

30+ years of expertise
~900 clients worldwide
80+ markets
Proprietary in-house modeling

Long-term power market analysis and price projections

AFRY Independent Market Reports provide projections of wholesale electricity prices and renewable capture prices, together with the market analysis needed to understand the drivers behind them.

They support asset valuation, financing, due diligence and long-term strategy by helping investors, lenders, developers, utilities and corporates assess how different market scenarios could affect revenues, costs and risk.

What you get

• Wholesale electricity price projections to 2060
• Multiple scenarios and weather sensitivities
• Renewable capture price projections
• Local market, policy and supply-demand analysis
• Coverage across more than 80 markets

Built on

• AFRY’s proprietary BID3 power market model
• Hourly in-house modeling of supply, demand and prices
• Local market expertise from teams around the world
• Transparent assumptions and documented methodology

Flexibility market analysis and battery revenue projections

AFRY Flexibility Reports provide projections across the key revenue streams available to flexible assets, together with the market analysis needed to understand the drivers behind them.

They support BESS investment cases, financing, portfolio strategy and asset operation by helping investors, developers and asset owners assess how different market scenarios could affect revenues, returns and risk.

What you get

• Projections across day-ahead, intraday, balancing services and capacity markets
• BESS gross-margin projections across different storage durations
• Local market, policy and supply-demand analysis
• Consistent scenarios across wholesale and flexibility markets
• Coverage across more than 20 European markets and Japan

Built on

• AFRY’s in-house battery modeling and optimization
• Consistent scenarios across wholesale and flexibility markets
• Local flexibility-market expertise
• Transparent assumptions and documented methodology

Flexible access, with expert support when you need it

AFRY Energy Reports are delivered through a secure client portal, with downloads and data access designed to fit the way your team already works.

Your subscription gives you self-service access to the reports and datasets you purchase, with AFRY experts available when you need additional context or support.

How you can access the data

• Client portal for subscribed reports and datasets
• Excel and PDF downloads
• API access for integration into your own models and tools
• Scenario comparison for supported Market Reports

Support available

• Onboarding and portal access
• Clarification calls with AFRY experts
• Market update workshops
• Deep-dive workshops on request

For investment, M&A and financing teams

• Asset valuation
• M&A and due diligence
• Financing and refinancing
• Valuation and negotiating of purchase agreements (PPAs/FPAs)

For strategy, origination and policy teams

• Market entry and route-to-market analysis
• Portfolio strategy
• Procurement and hedging strategy

For commercial, trading and finance teams

• Revenue and cost projections for budgeting
• Benchmarking against independent views
• Scenario stress testing

AFRY Reports support organizations across the energy value chain, including:

• Independent Power Producers & Developers
• Utilities & Energy Companies
• Investors & Funds
• Corporates & Industry
• Banks
• Public Sector