data center AFRY insights

Solving data center energy challenges

Energy is becoming a defining factor in data center investment

Securing sufficient power, managing long-term energy costs and navigating grid, permitting and sustainability constraints are now central to data center development.

AFRY helps investors, developers, operators, and energy companies assess opportunities, reduce uncertainty and make better decisions throughout the data center lifecycle; from market entry and site selection to procurement, design, and operation.

The decisions we help you make

Where to invest Arrow
Roof of an industrial building

Where to invest

Identify the markets and locations with the strongest long-term potential for data center development.

AFRY helps you assess:

  • Demand growth and market attractiveness
  • Energy prices, regulation and infrastructure constraints
  • Long-term investment risks and opportunities
Where to build Arrow
Steel frame structure in a construction site

Where to build

Compare potential sites based on power availability, cost, infrastructure and development risk.

AFRY helps you assess:

  • Grid capacity and connection timelines
  • Permitting, cooling, water and environmental constraints
  • Site suitability and long-term operating conditions
How to secure energy Arrow
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How to secure energy

Build a reliable and cost-effective energy strategy aligned with your operational and sustainability goals.

AFRY helps you assess:

  • Power procurement and PPA options
  • Storage, flexibility and backup solutions
  • Long-term costs, price exposure and decarbonization pathways
How to deliver Arrow
Energy_Wind_Renewables

How to deliver

Move from investment decision to a technically robust and operationally resilient facility.

AFRY supports:

  • Engineering and architectural design
  • Cooling, electrical systems and grid connections
  • Permitting, environmental planning and project delivery

Support for every part of the data center ecosystem

Investors and financial institutions Arrow
Investment Banking London

Investors and financial institutions

Assess market opportunity, project viability and long-term risk before committing or financing capital.

AFRY supports investment and financing decisions with demand projections, electricity-market analysis, commercial and technical due diligence, revenue modelling, energy-cost projections and independent assumptions for valuation and financing.

Data center developers Arrow
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Data center developers

Identify viable locations and progress projects through the development process.

We support site screening, grid-access strategy, power-price analysis, permitting, environmental assessment, energy procurement, cooling, engineering design and project delivery.

Hyperscalers and operators Arrow
Modelling tools

Hyperscalers and operators

Secure reliable, competitive and increasingly low-carbon power for growing portfolios.

Our support includes long-term power procurement, PPA strategy, energy-market analysis, flexibility, resilience, decarbonization pathways, heat reuse, and operational optimization.

Colocation and edge providers Arrow
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Colocation and edge providers

Improve competitiveness, resilience and energy performance across individual sites and wider portfolios.

We help assess energy costs, grid constraints, backup and storage options, flexibility revenues, efficiency improvements and expansion opportunities.

Energy companies and utilities Arrow
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Energy companies and utilities

Understand and respond to the growing role of data centers in the energy system.

AFRY supports utilities with demand analysis, network and generation planning, customer propositions, flexibility strategies, infrastructure investment and assessment of new commercial opportunities.

Governments and regulators Arrow
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Governments and regulators

Plan for data center growth while managing its effects on electricity systems, infrastructure and local communities.

Our work includes policy analysis, electricity-system modelling, demand projections, regulatory impact assessment, infrastructure planning and sustainability analysis.

How AFRY supports data center decisions

Market intelligence and investment analysis Arrow
woman showing data on a screen

Market intelligence and investment analysis

Build a robust view of market attractiveness, energy costs and long-term commercial risk.

  • Data center demand and market analysis
  • Electricity-price and capture-price projections
  • Grid, generation and capacity outlooks
  • Carbon and fuel-price scenarios
  • Flexibility and storage analysis
  • Commercial and technical due diligence
  • Bespoke scenario modelling
Energy strategy and project development Arrow
Wind turbine in Spanish mountains

Energy strategy and project development

Turn market insight into a viable energy and development strategy.

  • Site and grid-access strategy
  • Power procurement and PPA strategy
  • Flexibility, storage and backup-power strategies
  • Permitting and environmental assessment
  • Decarbonization pathways
  • Heat-reuse opportunities
  • Resilience and redundancy planning
Engineering, design and delivery Arrow
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Engineering, design and delivery

Develop and deliver technically robust, efficient and sustainable facilities.

  • Data center engineering and architectural design
  • Cooling and HVAC systems
  • Water stewardship
  • Electrical systems and grid connections
  • Environmental and biodiversity planning
  • Project management and implementation support

Data and projections for better investment decisions

Data center investments depend on assumptions extending far beyond the site itself. AFRY provides independent market projections and bespoke analysis to help investors, developers and operators understand how electricity prices, generation, grid conditions, flexibility and carbon policy may develop over the lifetime of an asset.

Explore our market intelligence and modelling

Market reports Arrow
Data chart with pen pointing at peak

Independent projections for long-term planning

AFRY’s energy market reports provide detailed, independently modelled outlooks for more than 80 markets. They help clients assess future operating costs, market exposure and investment risk using consistent assumptions and transparent methodologies.

Relevant reports include:

  • Wholesale electricity price projections
  • Installed capacity and generation outlooks
  • Flexibility and storage market analysis
  • Imbalance and ancillary service analysis
  • Gas and carbon market projections
  • Guarantees of origin and renewable power analysis
Bespoke analysis Arrow
Consultants working on analysis

Analysis tailored to your site, portfolio or transaction

Standard market forecasts do not answer every investment question. AFRY can develop customized scenarios reflecting a specific location, load profile, procurement strategy, technology configuration or commercial assumption.

Our bespoke analysis can support:

  • Site and market comparisons
  • Long-term energy cost projections
  • Power procurement and PPA decisions
  • Flexibility and storage business cases
  • Investment and transaction due diligence
  • Sensitivity and risk analysis
Our modelling approach Arrow
Tablet in an office

Robust analysis powered by AFRY’s BID3 model

AFRY’s forecasts are underpinned by BID3, our in-house power market model. BID3 simulates the operation and development of electricity systems, allowing our analysts to assess how demand, generation, interconnection, storage, fuel prices and carbon policy may affect future market outcomes.

Clients benefit from:

  • Detailed country and regional modelling
  • Long-term and hourly market analysis
  • Consistent scenarios across multiple markets
  • Transparent assumptions and methodologies
  • Direct access to experienced AFRY analysts

AFRY and DCD: Connecting data center and energy intelligence

AFRY works with Data Center Dynamics to bring independent energy-market insight to the data center industry. Through data, analysis, interviews and industry events, we explore how power availability, cost, flexibility and regulation are shaping data center investment and development.

Explore our DCD collaboration

Article: Power on the critical path: Why the IPP is moving to the center of data center development Arrow
Sun shining down on a detailed view of a substation connection

Power on the critical path: Why the IPP is moving to the center of data center development

How independent power producers are helping bridge the gap between data center development and grid availability

Power availability is increasingly determining where and how quickly new data centers can be developed. AFRY’s Richard Payne explores why flexible power strategies, optionality, and local expertise are becoming essential.

Article: How AI demand is redefining risk for US data center developers Arrow
Datahallar - Frågor kopplade till tillstånd

How AI demand is redefining risk for US data center developers

Power, policy and community pressures are changing the development landscape

AI-driven data center growth is intensifying pressure on US power systems, regulation and local communities. This article explores how developers can navigate these evolving risks from siting through to energization.

Article: Global demand, local reality Arrow
Server room of a datacenter

Global demand, local reality

Why data centers are entering a regulatory reckoning

Richard Payne explores the growing tension between global demand for data centers and the local realities of electricity systems, infrastructure constraints and regulation.

Video: Data centers and the wider energy ecosystem Arrow
Man speaking into a microphone in a green graphic promoting “Data centers & the energy ecosystem.”

Data centers and the wider energy ecosystem

How can data centers secure the power they need?

Carlos Pérez Linkenheil discusses future electricity demand, grid constraints, price volatility, flexibility and the growing importance of long-term energy procurement strategies.

Article: DCD Intelligence and AFRY Arrow
CH_Datacenter Westschweiz

DCD Intelligence and AFRY

Energy projections for data center investment

AFRY’s proprietary energy-market data and BID3 modelling are integrated into the DCD Intelligence platform, helping users assess power-market risks and opportunities alongside data center development intelligence.

Event: Meet AFRY at DCD Connect Arrow
Data center

Meet AFRY at DCD Connect

Join AFRY at DCD Connect London on 16–17 September to discuss the energy, investment and infrastructure challenges shaping the next generation of data centers.

afry office Solna clear blue skies

Why AFRY for data center energy strategy?

AFRY combines energy-market intelligence, data center expertise and multidisciplinary project delivery to support better decisions from early-stage investment and site selection through to design, implementation and operation.

  • More than 30 years of energy-market modelling experience
  • Proprietary modelling and datasets covering more than 80 electricity markets
  • Detailed understanding of data center energy demand, infrastructure and grid constraints
  • Combined commercial, technical, environmental and engineering expertise
  • Global capabilities supported by local market specialists
  • Experience supporting investors, developers, operators, utilities and public authorities

Frequently asked questions

What are the main energy considerations when developing a data center? Arrow

The main considerations include grid capacity and connection timelines, electricity prices, reliability, backup power, renewable energy procurement, cooling demand, water availability, permitting and sustainability requirements.

How can investors assess the energy risk of a data center project? Arrow

Investors should consider grid-access certainty, long-term electricity costs, price volatility, procurement options, demand assumptions, flexibility potential, regulatory change and the resilience of the proposed energy solution. AFRY combines commercial analysis with technical due diligence to provide an integrated view of these risks.

How does AFRY support data center site selection? Arrow

AFRY can compare potential locations based on electricity-market conditions, grid access, infrastructure, permitting, energy costs, cooling, water, environmental impacts, heat-reuse potential and local regulatory requirements.

Can AFRY provide long-term electricity-price projections? Arrow

Yes. AFRY provides independent wholesale electricity-price projections and bespoke scenarios across more than 80 markets. These can support operating-cost analysis, procurement strategies, investment cases and portfolio planning.

How can data centers procure low-carbon electricity? Arrow

Options may include renewable power purchase agreements, guarantees of origin, utility contracts, on-site generation and storage. The right approach depends on location, load profile, risk appetite, sustainability targets and market availability.

Can data centers provide flexibility to the electricity system? Arrow

Potentially. Batteries, backup generation, cooling systems and manageable workloads may provide flexibility, depending on technical requirements and local market rules. The commercial value should be assessed alongside operational and resilience needs.

How can waste heat from data centers be used? Arrow

Where suitable heat networks and nearby demand exist, waste heat can be recovered and supplied to district heating or other users. Viability depends on temperature, location, infrastructure requirements, commercial arrangements and local demand.

Does AFRY support both investment analysis and engineering delivery? Arrow

Yes. AFRY combines energy-market analysis, transaction advisory, environmental services, engineering, design and implementation support, allowing clients to carry assumptions from early-stage investment decisions through to project delivery.

Talk to our data center experts

Richard Payne - Leiter Rohstoff- und Energiehandel

Richard Payne

Head of Commodity & Energy Trading

Contact Us

Please complete the form and send us your proposal. For career enquiries, please visit our Join us section.
Carlos Perez Linkenheil - Head of Global Market Reports, AFRY Management Consulting

Carlos Perez Linkenheil

Head of Global Market Reports, AFRY Management Consulting

Contact Us

Please complete the form and send us your proposal. For career enquiries, please visit our Join us section.